Rising oil prices will clobber China economy

China recently lifted their subsidies on fuel prices because it can no longer afford them and because it will force their businesses to become more fuel efficient. Globalization - and this includes out-sourcing manufacturing to China - is highly dependent on cheap oil. But those days are gone.

One immediate reversal is already happening. Furniture manufacturing is returning to the US.

The economy of China is now at risk.

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Deadly force authorized against Everest torch protests

Under obvious pressure from Chinese authorities, the Nepalese government has given the security forces guarding their side of Mount Everest free reign in dealing with any protests.

If this keeps up, China may wrest the coveted Most Unloved Nation crown from the US. The Tibet demonstrations, the Olympic Torch protest, the Zimbabwe arms shipment, China has been receiving a lot of unfavorable attention lately, most of it quite justified. They appear as pigheaded and contemptuous of world opinion as the White House..

If Bush wants the crown back, he’ll need to do something spectacular, like attack Iran.

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South Africa union refuses to unload Chinese arms cargo for Zimbabwe

The arms, including three million rounds of ammunition suitable for AK47s and 1,500 rocket-propelled grenades, were ordered by the Zimbabwean military at the time of the March 29 election

Zimbabwe is landlocked, thus the arms have to come through South Africa. Major protests are planned should the arms be unloaded and trucked across South Africa.

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Too true

Boycott China?
Via Adam Curry.

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Social structure and grievances in Tibet

Thoughtful, longish piece on Tibet, somewhat favorable towards China. Worth reading.

A western journalist working in Beijing [said] editors based in the West are overriding the local opinions of Western journalists actually on the ground, and British ex-pats based in China complained that the Western press has under-reported the degree to which the protests in Lhasa are riots beating up Han Chinese.

Videos of the protests in Lhasa showed mobs trashing stores. Any government on the planet would come down hard against that. But when people do that to their own city then, well, obviously they are seriously not happy. The reaction of the Chinese government has been remarkably oafish and clueless too.

The Chinese state has emancipated Tibetan serfs, and brought roads, schools and hospitals; as well as economic development. They have brought the majority of Tibetans into national life, through improved literacy, communications and education. But they have also squandered what good will this may have brought through insensitivity to cultural and ethnic factors, and through not protecting the interests of Tibetans who are sidelined by the economic development in the region.

Um, sounds downright imperialistic to me. A strong power takes over a region, imposes their own mores and culture, with some benefit to many, but also with much ethnic tension and exploitation of that by the strong power.

The real problem, aside from the heavy-handed authoritarianism of the Chinese government, is that nobody, including them, knows what kind of government they have. Rather, it is something new, probably transitional, and at heart seems rather wobbly. Indeed, the article makes the fascinating point that perhaps the real problem for China is that the central government is too weak rather than too strong, which then allows for all sorts of mischief, corruption, and general ineptitude to occur everywhere.

Plus, there are protests and sometimes outright rebellions happening often in China now, like in the the Uighur region. Their problems with pollution, overcrowding, and water and energy shortages are becoming increasingly severe.

None of which excuses their thuggery against Tibet, but maybe Alvin Toffler will be proven prescient when, a couple of decades ago, he predicted China would eventually break into fragments.

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Live coverage for today’s S.F Olympic torch protests

Live coverage for today’s S.F Olympic torch protests

Live Video
Students for a Free Tibet
Direct Action to Stop the War
OlympicTorchSF.com
Dimension7

Text Updates
Students for a Free Tibet
Team Tibet
OlympicTorchFS.com

From Indybay

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In advance of the Olympic torch arriving in S.F.

Golden Gate Bridge, Tibet protest

Golden Gate Bridge today. Photo from Flickr (optimized a bit)

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Protests cut short Olympic torch run in Paris

The torch was extinguished three times by pro-Tibet protesters. Authorities finally put the torch on a bus, canceling the rest of the route.

Doubtless the sclerotic government of China has no clue how to deal with this and will most assuredly do the wrong thing, making things even worse for themselves.

A major protest is planned on April 8-9 in San Francisco, when the torch arrives.

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London: Clashes along Olympic torch route

Dozens of arrests with attempts to extinguish and snatch torch. Chinese media showed none of it. The pro-Tibet meme has gone viral and worldwide.

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A long, hot Chinese summer

Anyone ready for the wave of protests that are likely to reignite in Burma right around the time of the Olympics? How about a round two in Tibet? In Turkic China? Why not even in Shanghai? The eyes of the world will be on China like never before, and the sight witnessed will probably not be pretty.

Indeed, what better time to have protests than when the whole world is watching and Beijing desperately wants to put on a happy face to the world?

Most amusing of all this is the fundamental greed of the Chinese (no less than Americans or Europeans. The Chinese have not developed Tibet for the Tibetans, they developed it for the Chinese immigrants who they sent there to “change facts on the ground” and desperate Tibetans tired of unfulfilled Chinese promises struck back at their oppressors.

Wait, I thought communists were supposed to support the right of persecuted minorities to seek self-determination? Guess not.

Chinese leaders are fundamentally unable to solve the contradictions of “get rich quick” and “take care of the people” and probably won’t be for many years to come. This has created a dangerous schism in Chinese society that could very well be on full display during the Olympic coverage.

And when they will be powerless to crack down hard because the media of the world will be watching.

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Vaclav Havel: China Olympics boycott might be needed

Release all those who only peacefully exercised their internationally guaranteed human rights, and guarantee that no one is subjected to torture and unfair trials; enter into a meaningful dialogue with the representatives of the Tibetan people.

Unless these conditions are fulfilled
, the International Olympic Committee should seriously reconsider whether holding this summer’s Olympic games in a country that includes a peaceful graveyard remains a good idea.

The Guadian is also reporting in a video (can’t link to it unfortunately) that Tibetan protesters who turned themselves in after promises of leniency are instead being treated harshly.

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China Olympics water diversion threatens millions

river

The diversion of water to Beijing for the Olympics and for big hydropower projects threatens the lives of millions of peasant farmers in China’s north-western provinces, according to a senior Chinese government official.

The Chinese government plans to pump enornous amounts of water from the provinces to Beijing to flush out water from polluted and degraded waterways simply to put on a happy face for the Olympics.

Yet this will have a severe effect upon the provinces.

“In order to preserve the quality of Beijing’s water we have to close all our factories. But we still need to live. So I say the government needs to compensate Shaanxi,” Mr An said. “If you don’t compensate the masses then how can they survive?”

China is trying to have it both ways, rigid state control as well as rampant capitalism. These contradictions can’t and won’t last. For one thing, the business owners will loudly protest is they don’t have adequate water supplies. Also, the state itself is often an part or full owner owner in those very same businesses.

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Chinese cut off from internet

Damage to an undersea cable has cut millions of Chinese off from the internet, and the problem could take weeks to fix.

Ok, no need to wonder if all these cuts are coincidence. They aren’t

Tip: Homeless on the High Desert

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Drought in China

drought

Nearly one million people lack drinking water in a southern Chinese province that is suffering its worst water shortage in more than 50 years due to insufficient rain.

The hidden cause of many water shortages, whether they be in China or Atlanta, is the increased population size. 50 years ago such droughts probably would have been a minor annoyance because there simply weren’t that many people in the areas.

If such shortages go too long, especially in urban areas, the potential for political unrest is obvious.

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