Israel invades Gaza

gaza bombing

Photo of Gaza bombing. Haim Bresheeth has many more.

IDF launches ground assault

PFLP calls for international resistance

Fatah calls for national unity against Israeli agression

100,000-150,000 Palestinians in Israel protest Gaza offensive (with video)

Ground War…

And we have ourselves a ground invasion of Gaza. A week ago, I did not expect this. If the Israelis want to push this, Hamas cannot win in any conventional sense of the term, even to the extent that Hezbollah was able to resist in Lebanon. I’m guessing now that this ends with Israel installing a Fatah administration that the Gazans are going to hate. From Israel’s point of view, I suppose it’s better to have Palestinians blow each other up than blow up Israelis. In the long term, I still don’t see an endgame.

In 4th generation warfare like this, the victor needs to win both the military and propaganda wars. So far, it’s been a split decision for years (decades?) with Israel mostly winning the military war while Palestinians mostly win the propaganda war.

I also see no endgame. Just endless carnage.

One comment

  1. Look closer: Hamas’s primary enemy is not Israel, it’s Fatah. By facing off against Israel, Hamas gains power within the Palestinian community. You may also find that there are factions within Hamas that gain power within the organization (at the expense of more moderate voices) through this conflict. They can lose to Israel all day long and still come out ahead. I suspect you’ll find the same within Israel: there’s a faction that gains by this.

    As for an end-game, there isn’t one. Factions and groups that gain power through violence need violence to retain power. That means, as you said, endless carnage. There are ways to change it, but it won’t change on its own because those with the political power need the violence. And, as always, civilians pay the price.

Comments are closed.