From polling site FiveThirtyEight
We have a pretty good idea of where this race stands — a far better idea than you’ll get by trying to discern the meaning of John Zogby’s divining rod or paying any attention to what you see on the front page of Drudge Report.
Number one, John McCain is NOT closing Obama’s margin as quickly as he needs to (if indeed he is closing it at all).
Number two, John McCain is NOT gaining ground in the states that matter the most.
Leading conservative Francis Fukuyama endorses Obama.
McCain’s appeal was always that he could think for himself, but as the campaign has progressed, he has seemed simply erratic and hotheaded. His choice of Sarah Palin as a running mate was highly irresponsible; we have suffered under the current president who entered office without much knowledge of the world and was easily captured by the wrong advisers. McCain’s lurching from Reaganite free- marketer to populist tribune makes one wonder whether he has any underlying principles at all.