Even if the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline were operational, which it apparently isn’t, there is little chance that oil will be piped through it for the next 15 days. And, uh, why are they just declaring war for 15 days – and asking for a cease-fire at the same time?
Georgia is also recalling its troops from Iraq and they are being ferried back by US planes. Ya, that’ll calm the waters.
Let’s hope we aren’t having an Archduke Ferdinand moment whose assassination in 1914 upset the balance of power and led to WWI (although the war probably would have happened anyway.) Not that anything remotely like WWI is coming but the balance of power is most definitely being upset in the Caucasus.