Archive for December, 2007


Antiwar / impeachment protests planned at Rose Parade

The White Rose Coalition plans to have hundreds, maybe thousands, marching in non-violent civil disobedience at the Rose Parade as well as speeches by Cindy Sheehan. This could get interesting, given that hundreds of millions watch it on TV.

Info here (on a deeply jumbled site.)

Note to Peter Thottam (who I know, it’s his site.) Please get a web designer. Your site has lots of info but it’s really hard to navigate though and find stuff.

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Britain drops ‘war on terror’ label

July 7 2005 London subway bombing

The words “war on terror” will no longer be used by the British government to describe attacks on the public.

“The people who were murdered on July 7 [2005 subway bombing] were not the victims of war. The men who killed them were not soldiers,” Macdonald said. “They were fantasists, narcissists, murderers and criminals and need to be responded to in that way.”

Well put. Anyone who slaughters innocents for whatever political or religious purpose is a criminal thug. Along with being morally abhorrent, doing so usually backfires as a tactic because it inflames the other side to respond in even harsher ways.

Also, calling it a war raises non-state entities to the level of the state, a stupid tactic, because it legitimizes them as a major player, equal to the state.

May other countries follow the lead of Britain, especially the U.S.

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List of lists

Top ten myths about Iraq 2007, Juan Cole

Top web apps & sites of 2007, Read/Write Web

Five green books you should read soon, Jetson Green

Top 10 green design stories of 2007, Inhabitat

7 technologies that will save the earth in 2008, EcoGeek

Socionomic trendspotting for 2008, FutureJacked

Forecast for 2008, Jim Kuntsler

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NY Times Square ball. High tech, low consumption

NY Times Square ball

The 9,576 Philips Luxeon LEDs replaced the 600 incandescent and halogen bulbs of the previous Ball.  The new Ball is more than twice as bright and capable of creating a palette of more than 16 million vibrant colors and billions of patterns. Yet, the entire Times Square Ball will be lit with approximately the same amount of electricity as it takes to power ten toasters or a single oven/range.

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Does capitalism need a dose of socialism?

clenched fist

Occasionally, however, capitalism requires a good dose of diluted socialism to keep it kicking, and the capitalist elite may well be hankering for a bit of socialist economics to straighten out the neoliberal disaster engineered by ideologues with fanciful derivatives they can’t understand (and neither can the “rocket scientists’ who engineered them) and an energy crisis that they can’t break out of.

Oh, the rocket scientists understood their derivatives well enough, it was the risk they didn’t understand. “The range of markets practically never goes outside two standard deviations.” Yet in the 1987 crash, it was twenty standard deviations. Oopsie. “Our models predict no more than a 2% default rate in subprime mortgages.” Whoops, “How did the default rate go to 4%, our models show that to be impossible.” Darn that pesky reality that refuses to conform to mathematical models.

Socialists tend to think that capitalists control the system with a firm hand and glacial calm. Not so. Financial markets sometimes careen about like chipmunks on meth with no one in control or knowing what will happen next. Like now, for example.

Yes, capitalism absolutely needs a huge influx of money to pay for R&D and development of clean energy. They know this. The money will come from governments, private enterprise, and non-profits (like the Google foundation.) Venture capital firms like Kleiner Perkins already are pumping in millions, probably billions. Some governments are deeply involved, sadly not ours (yet.) Hey, I don’t care how clean energy gets developed as long as does and becomes available to all.

As for the derivative debacle, it signals the death knell for neocon lunacy and their hands-off-the-market philosophy, as this rather clearly led to massive greed followed by the credit crisis. Plenty of hardcore capitalists are now calling for increased and strict governmental regulation to insure this can’t happen again.

So, if governmental investing in clean energy and increased regulation of markets be Socialism Lite, then it most assuredly is coming.

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Elaine Brown withdraws from Green Party presidential race

Elaine Brown

Former Black Panther Party leader and long-time activist Elaine Brown has resigned from the Green Party.

As of today, I am no longer a candidate for the Green Party nomination for president of the United States, and I hereby resign from all affiliation with the Green Party. I believe the leadership of the Green Party of the United States has been seized by neo-liberal men who entrench the Party in internecine antagonisms so as to compromise its stated principles and frustrate its electoral and other goals.

I completely understand. The unending, pointless, vicious infighting was a primary reason that I left the GP in 2004 after being Co-cordinator of the Green Party of Los Angeles County. Quite simply, it was impossible to get anything done.

I believe this small clique that has captured control of the Party has transformed it into a repository for erstwhile, disgruntled Democrats, who would violate the Party’s own vision and sabotage the good will and genuine commitment of the general membership.

Then there’s the long-time members who jealously guard their little fiefdoms.

This became clear to me almost from the moment I announced my candidacy in February of 2007. I intended using my campaign to bring large numbers of blacks and browns into the Party.

She was immediately sabotaged by rumors that she was a government agent and it became clear that some in the GP hierarchy did not want an influx of people of color.

What this effort revealed, though, was how the Green Party, while advocating “diversity,” remains dominated by whites. Indeed, the Party is able to count less blacks, browns and natives in its membership than our national population percentages and certainly less than the Democrats themselves.

True. Let me re-phrase that, embarrassingly true.

My sharp criticism of high-profile Party members’ support for the “three-strikes” crime laws, the sole basis for the inhumane mass incarceration of people in the United States, particularly blacks—the repeal of which the Party’s platform advocates—has been met with outright enmity.

They tried to block support for repealing Three Strikes? Wow, which of the Ten Key Values does that represent? Certainly not the one about Social Justice…

And, to divert attention from this and other critical issues, the leadership has employed chicanery in their promulgation of defamatory lies about me—which they finally extended to character assaults on my supporters and critics of their unscrupulousness.

If Cynthia McKinney gets the same treatment from the GP in her current run for the presidential nomination, then it will probably have succeeded in destroying itself.

It is my sincere belief that the Green Party as it now exists has no intention of using the ballot to actualize real social progress, and will aggressively repel attempts to do so.

Brown is not speaking about the rank and file of the Green Party, but of a dysfunctional, inept “leadership” that manages to get little done except for internal warfare.

To remain in the fray or in the Party, then, would require a betrayal of my lifelong and ongoing commitment to serving the interests of black and other oppressed people by advancing revolutionary change in America.

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Solar cell production jumps 50% in 2007

What’s more, solar cell production has been averaging 48% growth every year since 2002.

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Bhutto wanted private security

Musharraf wouldn’t allow it. If Bhutto had Blackwater or Armor security, she might still be alive, as the assailant probably couldn’t have gotten anywhere near her car.

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Wave energy for California

Finavera wave energy

Pacific Gas & Electric Co of California is now the first U.S. utility to commit to buying electricity generated from wave power. Finavera Renewables of Canada will build and install the systems off the Humboldt shores.

While the amount of power to be produced is just 2 megawatts, wave power could prove to be an important source of renewable energy. From the pdf on their site, quoting an LA Times article.

Finavera, based in Vancouver, is one of many companies chasing technologies designed to harness the force of the ocean to produce power. Some hope to tap the sea’s below-surface tidal forces, some target the power of breaking waves, and Finavera and others have focused on surface waves offshore.

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Pope wants army of exorcists

satan in computer

The Pope has ordered his bishops to set up exorcism squads to tackle the rise of Satanism.

He wants numerous exorcists in each diocese too. Given the huge drop off in the numbers of priests, one wonders how this will be accomplished.

The Vatican is particularly concerned that young people are being exposed to the influence of Satanic sects through rock music and the Internet.

This sounds like a parody of a 50’s fundamentalist preacher at a tent revival.

The Agonist responds: “I smell a video game

The Pentagon is a five-sided building in the form of a pentagram, a symbol of witchcraft. Perhaps the exorcists could start there.

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Algae farm for biodiesel

algae

Shell Oil plans to farm algae off the coast of Kona, Hawaii to create biodiesel in a test project.

Yes, the OilCos live in both worlds. But even ExxonMobil is now making serious moves into renewables. Good. Moving to clean, renewable energy will, among other things, require massive investments of money by companies who know how to build and transport energy on a massive scale. That would be the OilCos. Here’s hoping they go full-tilt into renewables, and I’m guessing they now finally get it.

In another sign of the green times, big dog venture capital firm Kleiner Perkins of Silicon Valley is now focusing on greentech. It says so on their home page (Al Gore recently became a partner.)

You bet they and ExxonMobil see the possibility for immense fortunes to be made in clean tech. They also have the money to fund R&D and startups, and that’s what’s needed now, a huge push into developing clean energy - and it looks like that push is now happening.

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The “new progressive movement”?

Moon of Alabama has a fine rant on the “new progressive movement” which appears to be faint bubblings from within liberaldom concerned that its leaders in DC are either comatose or ignoring them.

If you want to broaden your voter base, why not look where most of the potential votes really are? These are with the people who today do not vote. Those are mostly the poor, the disenfranchised, the people who have no reason to vote because the ‘liberals’ are not really different from the ‘conservatives’.

They of course are precisely the same groups that used to be a welcome part of the Democratic constituency. They didn’t desert the Democratic Party, the party deserted them. The poor, minorities, labor unions, the working class - they were the backbone of the Democratic vote. Until Bill Clinton, triangulation, and appealing to the swing vote, that is.

All that Democrats need to do to become a dominant force again is to genuinely become a Big Tent party again. Emphasis on “genuinely.”

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Bloomberg makes his move

New York Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg, a potential independent candidate for president, has scheduled a meeting next week with a dozen leading Democrats and Republicans, who will join him in challenging the major-party contenders to spell out their plans for forming a “government of national unity” to end the gridlock in Washington.

Those who will be at the Jan. 7 session at the University of Oklahoma say that if the likely nominees of the two parties do not pledge to “go beyond tokenism” in building an administration that seeks national consensus, they will be prepared to back Bloomberg or someone else in a third-party campaign for president.

Big names from both parties are endorsing. I like the idea. It’ll force the Democrats and Republicans to actually talk about issues rather than have the usual sorry, mud-slinging, poll-driven spectacle that passes for political campaigning in this country.

Bloomberg has said if he runs as an independent that he will spend one billion of his own money. That means he can outspend Republicans and Democrats put together. So their choice is simple. Discuss the issues or face their worst nightmare, a centrist candidate with enormously deep pockets.

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Privatopia

John Robb delivers a report from 2025 detailing how the US government has become completely privatized.

The goal of this brief is to get people thinking about the future in a way that helps them make decisions today.

In such a world, nationhood as we know it will have vanished. There would be increasing numbers of citystates, and no central authority as exists now. Access to goods, medical care, etc., even more than now, would be restricted to those with money, with obvious class tensions and revolts by the underclass.

Given the obvious competing interests between the various corporate entities involved, could such a scenario actually hold together for long? And how could there be a sense that it was an actual nation? With no real center, could it even hold together?

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Security implications of global climate change

Age of Consequences

In August 2007, a Russian adventurer descended 4,300 meters under the thinning ice of th North Pole to plant a titanium flag, claiming some 1.2 million square kilometers of the Arctic for mother Russia. Not to be outdone, the Prime Minister of Canada stated his intention to boost his nation’s military presence in the Arctic, with the stakes raised by the recent discovery that the icy Northwest Passage has become navigable for the first time in recorded history. Across the globe, the spreading desertification in the Darfur region has been compounding the tensions between nomadic herders and agrarian farmers, providing the environmental backdrop for genocide. In Bangladesh, one of the most densely populated countries in the world, the risk of coastal flooding is growing and could leave some 30 million people searching for higher ground in a nation already plagued by political violence and a growing trend toward Islamist extremism. Neighboring India is already building a wall along its border with Bangladesh. More hopefully, the award of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize to Vice President Al Gore and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is a clear recognition that global warming poses not only environmental hazards but profound risks to planetary peace and stability as well.

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Benazir assassination: The unprecedented mass reaction

Farooq Tariq, general secretary of Labour Party Pakistan, gives an on-the-ground report of what’s happening in Pakistan now. Serious rioting. A general strike has been called.

It is very volatile, unstable, unpredictable, explosive, dangerous, impulsive, fickle and capricious political situation. It never happened before in many years that mass reaction has erupted to this degree.

The general strike was a total success. All roads were empty. No traffic at all. All shops were closed. All industrial and other institutions were completely shut down.

The Army has been given shoot to kill orders. The strike continues.

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Bhutto. Not what she seemed to be

Benazir Bhutto

Let’s not forget, Benazir Bhutto was removed as president twice because of corruption.

We need have no sympathy with her Islamist assassin and the extremists behind him to recognize that Bhutto was corrupt, divisive, dishonest and utterly devoid of genuine concern for her country.

And that’s from the opening paragraphs - the author is just warming up.

But the assassination may backfire on Islamists (which would be a good thing indeed.)

In killing Bhutto, the Islamists over-reached (possibly aided by rogue elements in Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence, one of the murkiest outfits on this earth). Just as al Qaeda in Iraq overplayed its hand and alienated that country’s Sunni Arabs, this assassination may disillusion Pakistanis who lent half an ear to Islamist rhetoric.

Extremists often think that violent actions on their part will provoke an overthrow on whatever government it is that they loathe. This rarely happens. Instead the populace, sickened by violence, often turns against them. The best possible move for the US would be to stay out of internal Pakistani politics. Any of the usual arrogant, blundering moves by the US will simply help the extremists. In fact, that’s precisely what they want the US to do.

A creature of insatiable ambition, Bhutto will now become a martyr. In death, she may pay back some of the enormous debt she owes her country.

No she won’t. She’s dead.

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Japan to mine “flammable ice” for energy

natural gas

How crazy is this?

Fifty-five million years ago the world’s climate was catastrophically changed when volcanoes melted natural gas frozen in the seabed. Now Japan plans to drill for the same icy crystals to end its reliance on imported energy.

The trick is extracting it without damaging the environment.

Well, yeah.. How can this possibly be done safely and without releasing enormous amounts of greenhouse gases and destroying the natural balance of the ocean?

As energy gets scarcer, we will see more bizarre plans like this, trying to extract energy from the strangest places, cost and risk be damned.

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Home sales drop 9% to 12 year low

recession

This worsening housing recession, together with the worst liquidity and credit crunch in the last 20 years, oil close to $100, faltering capex spending by the corporate sector and a saving-less and debt-burdened consumer that is on the ropes and stopped spending (in real terms) in December will lead in 2008 to the worst US economy wide recession of the last 20 years.

– Perma-bear Nouriel Roubini, who did indeed predict the housing crash early and accurately.

Commercial real estate is starting to wobble. Credit card debt is soaring as are late payments on them. The economy will be the major issue in the presidential elections, not the war. The war is far away while layoffs, foreclosures, and bankruptcies will be up close and personal issue for many.

If you haven’t done so already, batten down whatever financial hatches you may have. If you have investing money, is any of it in “enhanced” money market funds? If so, move it out, as the “enhancements” are now toxic. Cash rather than stocks is always a good place to be. Pay off credit card debt if you can, as interest rates and late penalty fees are high and rising.

The stock market, from all indications, is about to tumble. So it might be time to sell iffy stocks. Right now, Sue and I are almost entirely in cash and I’m using a tiny percentage of that, no more than 5-7%, to buy puts on homebuilder and financial indexes as well as on financial stocks. With puts, you make money if the price of the stock drops. This is not a strategy for all, as option trading, is extremely fast moving and tricky. But it could work for some. Another ploy is to buy short or ultra-short EFTs, which go up if the index they are based on goes down. If what I’m saying appears to be in a strange space alien language, then don’t even think of acting on it! Seriously.

But what about those with no financial resources? Job layoffs and company bankruptcies will hit them first. Maybe they have an ARM about to reset. They could lose everything. Given that millions or ARMs will be resetting in the next year or so with a spike coming early next year, this is no theoretical matter. Real people will be feeling real pain, just in time for the elections too.

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TSA rules for lithium metal batteries

Near as I can tell, this affects pretty much no one except audio/visual professionals.

Cell phone lithium metal batteries are under the limit as are most laptop batteries. Batteries in a device are ok, batteries not in a device can not be checked. Best bet. Carry-on all devices and batteries.

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Did Biden, Dodd and Edwards kill Bhutto too?

mudtrophy.jpg

Washington Note wonders, as are many, why Obama’s chief political strategist tried to imply that Hillary Clinton was somehow responsible for Bhutto’s death. And why Obama made things worse by not denouncing the comments immediately.

Obama may have just destroyed himself as being the high road candidate.

The primary elections haven’t even started yet. Imagine the rivers of mud that will be slung once the primaries are over and the general election begins. And none of it will have anything to do with the issues either. Pathetic, isn’t it?

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Serious recycling

Chicken fat into biodiesel

Hydrogen power plant fueled by garbage.

That’s a whole lot of blorp that won’t be clogging up landfills but will instead be turned into energy.

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Pakistan riots

Karachi riot

Two dozen dead in Karachi

Juan Cole:

The seriousness of the situation in the streets of some of Pakistan’s important towns and cities doesn’t seem to me to be being reported in the US press and media. In contrast, Pakistani newspapers are giving chilling details of large urban centers turned into ghost towns on Friday morning.

Folks, I’ve seen civil wars and riots first hand, and revolutions from not too far away, and this situation looks pretty bad to me.

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Bhutto. Where was the security?

There were multiple snipers shooting armor-piercing bullets, a decoy suicide bomb, and two of the snipers blew themselves up after firing. There was another attack at the hospital.

A working theory, according to this American source, is that Al Qaeda or affiliated jihadist groups had effectively suborned at least one unit of Pakistan’s Special Services Group, the country’s equivalent of Britain’s elite SAS commandos.

Or not. But clearly they were stone cold professionals. With help.

Police officers had frisked the 3,000 to 4,000 people attending Thursday’s rally when they entered the park, but as the speakers from Bhutto’s Pakistan People’s Party droned on, the police abandoned many of their posts.

Tip: FDL, who also has a fascinating piece by someone who knew Bhutto as a student at Harvard and says she was being groomed, even then, to lead Pakistan.

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Wealthy areas feel subprime pain too

stomp budget

This from Loundon County VA, one of the wealthiest counties in the nation. Real estate taxes fund 72% of their budget but values dropped 10% last year with more drops predicted. Now they have a budget shortfall of $251 million. Foreclosures are up dramatically too.

Now imagine what it must be like for counties with far less money and resources…

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