Some speculation

First, from the comments on Lawyers, Guns, and Money

I have this nagging feeling that Rice and Cheney – and by extension, McCain – knew full well that the Georgians were going to get crushed but wished them luck regardless. That’s exactly what they wanted: A credible boogeyman to scare the Beltway crowd and the [...]

There are no good guys, but we must be most wary of Russia

Says Craig Murray

An immediate ceasefire is required now and a de facto Russian annexation of South Ossetia must not be permitted, unless we eventually want a war for East Ukraine. Sadly, the West will learn the wrong long-term lesson. The answer is not to strengthen NATO. NATO is part of the cause of the [...]

South Ossetia update

Georgia calls for Ossetia ceasefire but Moscow appears to be ignoring them.

At the same time, a Georgia minister says their troops are ‘merely regrouping’ and not retreating from South Ossetia. Russian media confirms that, saying Georgia troops have broken through their defenses in Tskhinvali in South Ossetia. So, it certainly sounds like Georgia is [...]

Georgia pulls out of South Ossetia

An [Georgia] interior ministry spokesman told the BBC it was not a military defeat but a necessary step to protect civilians from a “humanitarian catastrophe.”

Right. Not a defeat at all. Why would anyone think that after attacking your own breakaway province then retreating rapidly in the face of a vastly larger and better [...]

Georgia declares ‘state of war’for 15 days

Even if the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline were operational, which it apparently isn’t, there is little chance that oil will be piped through it for the next 15 days. And, uh, why are they just declaring war for 15 days – and asking for a cease-fire at the same time?

Georgia is also recalling its troops from [...]

Secondary pipeline access in Georgia destroyed by Russia

The harbor of Poti in Georgia is near the major oil terminal of Supsa in the Black Sea.

Georgia is reporting the harbor has been destroyed. This major secondary route for oil on Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline is now closed and the primary route to the Mediterranean through Turkey has been shut down because of sabotage [...]

Pipelineistan destabilizes

Image from Asia Times in 2005 who has useful background on the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline that supplies the US, EU, and Israel.

The pipeline was bombed in Turkey just a few days ago.

The PKK, a Kurdish separatist organization, has claimed responsibility, but the bombing happened outside their traditional zone of operation.

Turkey is saying [...]

War in South Ossetia

Georgia declares state of war yet calls for cease-fire. Is this due to muddled reports from the fog of war or someone bit off more than they can chew?

By all accounts, Georgia started it by shelling South Ossetia. But Russia tossed a match on gasoline by invading. Some on the Left say the US [...]

Ossetia. It’s all about the price of oil?

(Detail of map from University of Colorado. Click for full map.)

While the US has certainly been training and arming troops from Georgia, Russia has been doing the same in South Ossetia, and indeed their tanks have entered there – in other words, they’ve invaded another country.

Hold on for this shocker.

Analysts said [...]