50-60% haircut on Greece bonds could trigger CDS

Flickr napfisk

It wasn’t enough that the banksters sold garbage bonds and made dicey loans to Greece. Nope, they had to make huge bets on them too. Of course they made money doing both and certainly assumed if things went bad they could go whining to governments that they need another bailout.

Well, it’s [...]

Illinois now has higher default risk than Iceland

CMA Vision

The CMA Sovereign Risk Monitor identifies and ranks the world’s most volatile sovereign debt issuers according to percentage changes in their 5 year CDS.

Illinois’ accomplishment is impressive indeed, especially considering Iceland had their entire banking system self-destruct not so long ago.

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Leveraged debt and the current debt crisis

Image from NY Times article, Arcane Market Is Next to Face Big Credit Test, an article which is getting huge circulation among financial blogs as it is makes public to the world at large what the financial blogs have been saying for months, that the coming debt crunch could make subprime seem small.

Few [...]

Credit default swap losses may reach $250 billion

Bill Gross of giant bond management company PIMCO says losses on credit default swaps could reach $250 billion based on historical default rates.

To put that number in perspective, many Street estimates ascribe similar losses to subprime mortgages, a derivative category substantially distinct from CDS insurance.

With CDS, a bond issuer sells risk to [...]