Provisional ballots in Ohio

Count the votes!.

It’s not over in Ohio. As this email notes:Bush is currently leading in Ohio by 136,221 If there are 250,000 provisional ballots outstanding. The highest number I’ve seen. And 90% of those ballots are good, as they were in 2000. That leaves 225,000 votes.

If 85% of those ballots prove to be for Kerry, about the number that Gore got in 2000. That leaves us with 191,250, giving us a lead of 55,029.

If there are only 200,000 provisionals, following the same calculation would leave us with a lead of 16,779. If the provisional ballots are only 175,000 that leaves us with a deficit of -2,346 that will leaves us in a position to get an automatic statewide recount.

If it takes lawyers and judges to arrive at a conclusive answer, then so be it.

Update: It’s over, Kerry has conceded.

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